The most important number of the week: 38

Most of the reporting about the recent Mason-Dixon poll that showed Rick Scott within 14 points of Bill McCollum focused on exactly that, the 14 point gap.  But from where I sit, it isn't the 14 point cap that should scare the daylights out of Camp McCollum, it is the other number:  38.

Here's why.

McCollum has run for statewide office now four times.  He has very high name ID and and even higher  name ID among core Republicans. 

On the other hand, less than a month ago, probably not more than four people could pick Rick Scott out of a line-up. 

Even today, according to the same poll, McCollum holds a substantive name ID advantage among Republicans of 57-29 and a favorable advantage of 46-28.  Take these factors into play and he should be above or at least close to 50 in a head to head with Scott.

Yet he is at 38.

And 40 percent aren't sure how they will vote.

Even in the early days, when Rubio had low name ID, Crist was frequently above 50 percent.  It took nearly a year for him to catch up and tie Crist.  Scott's on pace to do it in 6-8 weeks.  In other words, it almost seems like Republicans have been wanting an alternative to the Attorney General and as soon as it popped up, they jumped to it.

Further, he has an even bigger problem.  Rick Scott has already spent more than McCollum has raised and is on place to outspend him 4, maybe even 5 to one. 

Now, Scott isn't without his own problems, namely that he once ran a company that got whacked by the federal government for a $1.7 Billion (yes that is Billion with a B) fine for defrauding the government.   And his decision to stand up and defend the oil industry with the gusher in the gulf may be courageous, but hardly smart politics. 

But the problem for McCollum is it appears his voters are ready and willing to look for an alternative and in the end they may not care, just as they brushed aside Rubio's credit card and other woes.  And if McCollum doesn't start taking this guy seriously and at least try to get some negative earned press, a few more weeks and a few more 4-5 million on TV and he could find himself in a dead heat, or even behind the man from Naples, at which point, it will be Katy Bar the Door time for the presumptive nominee.

Which is why this week's most important number is in fact not 14, but 38.

Comments

[CharleneSalinas22]

I took 1 st home loans when I was very young and that supported my business very much. But, I need the college loan once again.

[christian louboutin]

Warezone Christian Louboutin Shoes and Pandora Jewelry, lets you send Pandora charm, you may need to Zumba Fitness DVD or P90X or Insanity Workout DVDvideo tutorial, creating unique Fitness.Christian Louboutin Knockoffs,Christian Louboutin Wedding Shoes,
Christian Louboutin Boots,Christian Louboutin Sandals,Christian Louboutin Wedges,Christian Louboutin Platform,P90X DVD,DVD Sales,Vibram Five Fingers,Herve Leger,Cheap Christian Louboutin,Alexander Wang Dress,Alexander Wang Shoes,Alexander Mcqueen Shoes,Giuseppe Zanotti Shoes,ED Hardy Shoes,Jimmy Choo Shoes,Chanel Shoes,YSL Shoes,Manolo Blahnik Shoes,Vivienne Westwood Shoes,Tory Burch Shoes,Louis Vuitton Shoes,Miu Miu Shoes,Salvatore Ferragamo Shoes,Marc Jacobs Shoes,Christian Dior Shoes,Herve Leger,Sergio Rossi Shoes,Lanvin Shoes,Coach Shoes,Prada Shoes,Gucci Shoes,Moncler Jackets,MBT Shoes

[chanel]

If you want to buy Omega Watches Omega Watches For Sale discuont omega watches prices Omega on
The finest Breitling Watches and Cartier Watches here.Luxury Selection of Breitling Watches For Sale, Cartier Watches For Women sell us your watch it's fast, easy & safe
Large selection of iwc watches iwc professional production of watches
Authentic oris save up to 50% on oris watches

Find the season's latest fendi handbags by fendi shop the latest fendi bags at the luxury fendi stores.
At Low Prices.Shop louis vuitton shoes & lv bags. Free Shipping on Orders! luxury designer bags louis vuitton bags and louis vuitton at louis vuitton shop for sale louis vuitton handbags handbags good Buy gucci today online and receiveon all full priced items best gucci bags hot sale low price. chanel christian louboutin shoes at 0827